Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventus vs Sassuolo

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Allianz Stadium, Turin
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Yildiz K.
Assist: Conceicao F.
52' Event
Pinamonti A.
Assist: Berardi D.
62'
Sub
Thuram K. In: Koopmeiners T.
Out: Thuram K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Juventus
33%
Draws
27%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventus lately — more wins on the board than Sassuolo.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Juventus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Juventus Clean Sheet 68%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus Sassuolo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie A
Juventus vs Sassuolo
1:1
Jan 6, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Juventus
0:3
Jan 16, 2024 Serie A
Juventus vs Sassuolo
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Juventus
4:2
Apr 16, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Juventus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildiz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinamonti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus 50 / 100
Sassuolo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Juventus's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Juventus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juventus VS Sassuolo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus

(Home)
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0
Juventus
24 May
Torino
2 : 2
Juventus
17 May
Juventus
0 : 2
Fiorentina
09 May
Lecce
0 : 1
Juventus
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Sassuolo

(Away)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)