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Juventus W vs Napoli W

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Women Stadio Vittorio Pozzo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juventus W play Napoli W in the Coppa Italia Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Juventus W averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Napoli W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Juventus W won 5, Napoli W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Juventus W and 1.13 for Napoli W. This points to a Juventus W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Juventus W
18%
Draws
28%
Napoli W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Juventus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Juventus W picked up more points recently compared to Napoli W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Juventus W Clean Sheet 21%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus W Napoli W
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 19 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Juventus W
2:3
Jan 29, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
Juventus W vs Napoli W
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
Napoli W vs Juventus W
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A Women
Juventus W vs Napoli W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Juventus W vs Napoli W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Girelli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Napoli W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus W 53 / 100
Napoli W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus W Napoli W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Juventus W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juventus W attacking → ← attacking Napoli W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventus W scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Napoli W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Juventus W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Napoli W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 39
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13