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Jwaneng Galaxy vs Morupule

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jwaneng Galaxy host Morupule in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Morupule have shipped 0.87 goals a game lately, while Jwaneng Galaxy have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.9. Past meetings favor Jwaneng Galaxy slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.88 - 0.94) back Jwaneng Galaxy to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Jwaneng Galaxy
35%
Draws
40%
Morupule
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Morupule haven't matched Jwaneng Galaxy's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jwaneng Galaxy here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jwaneng Galaxy Clean Sheet 20%
Morupule Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jwaneng Galaxy Morupule
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Morupule vs Jwaneng Galaxy
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Jwaneng Galaxy vs Morupule
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Jwaneng Galaxy
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Jwaneng Galaxy vs Morupule
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Jwaneng Galaxy vs Morupule
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jwaneng Galaxy 36 / 100
Morupule 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jwaneng Galaxy Morupule

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Jwaneng Galaxy found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Morupule's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Jwaneng Galaxy has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jwaneng Galaxy VS Morupule
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jwaneng Galaxy

(Home)
12 Sept
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 1
Port Louis
04 Sept
Port Louis
1 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
23 May
Township Rollers
1 : 4
Jwaneng Galaxy
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
06 May
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0
Matebele
Page 1 of 6

Morupule

(Away)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sua Flamingoes 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Police XI 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Extension Gunners 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Enesia 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Tonota 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
7 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Centre Chiefs 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Tafic FC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
11 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
12 Township Rollers 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Orapa United 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Prisons XI Gaborone 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)