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K. Istklalspor vs Ankara Demirspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

K. Istklalspor host Ankara Demirspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ankara Demirspor have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while K. Istklalspor have conceded 1 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor K. Istklalspor slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring K. Istklalspor. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
K. Istklalspor
35%
Draws
40%
Ankara Demirspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ankara Demirspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • K. Istklalspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 20%
Ankara Demirspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Istklalspor Ankara Demirspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
K. Istklalspor vs Ankara Demirspor
2:0
Dec 17, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Ankara Demirspor vs K. Istklalspor
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Istklalspor 32 / 100
Ankara Demirspor 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Istklalspor Ankara Demirspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ankara Demirspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

K. Istklalspor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Ankara Demirspor let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

K. Istklalspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

K. Istklalspor VS Ankara Demirspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

K. Istklalspor

(Home)
26 Sept
52 Orduspor
0 : 1
K. Istklalspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
24Erzincanspor
2 : 2
K. Istklalspor
06 Sept
K. Istklalspor
0 : 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
04 May
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
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Ankara Demirspor

(Away)
27 Sept
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 4
Adana 01
20 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 2
Ankara Demirspor
12 Sept
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 1
Fethiyespor
06 Sept
Ankaragucu
0 : 1
Ankara Demirspor
25 Apr
Ankara Demirspor
2 : 2
Guzide Gebzespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Ankara Demirspor 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
4 Adana 01 4 2 1 1 10:10 7
5 52 Orduspor 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 24Erzincanspor 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
7 12 Bingol Spor 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Serik Spor 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 K. Istklalspor 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
10 Ankaragucu 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
11 Kirklarelispor 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 Trabzon FK 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
13 Karacabey Bld. 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
15 Kutahyaspor 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
16 Inegolspor 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
17 Iskenderunspor 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)