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K. Istklalspor vs Sakaryaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Abdioglu Y.
Assist: Yunkus T.
61'
Kayacik E.
61'
Kayacik E.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group game between K. Istklalspor and Sakaryaspor finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakaryaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
K. Istklalspor
20%
Draws
52%
Sakaryaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and K. Istklalspor come out ahead of Sakaryaspor on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 16%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Istklalspor Sakaryaspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
K. Istklalspor vs Sakaryaspor
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

K. Istklalspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdioglu Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Korkmaz E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilal H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Istklalspor 30 / 100
Sakaryaspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Istklalspor Sakaryaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Istklalspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

K. Istklalspor's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sakaryaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: K. Istklalspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

K. Istklalspor VS Sakaryaspor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

K. Istklalspor

(Home)
10 Oct
12 Bingol Spor
2 : 1
K. Istklalspor
04 Oct
K. Istklalspor
1 : 0
Ankara Demirspor
26 Sept
52 Orduspor
0 : 1
K. Istklalspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
24Erzincanspor
2 : 2
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

Sakaryaspor

(Away)
11 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 2
Iskenderunspor
06 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Arit Kayadibi
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 5 5 0 0 13:4 15
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Ankara Demirspor 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
4 Adana 01 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
5 52 Orduspor 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
6 24Erzincanspor 5 2 3 0 9:7 9
7 12 Bingol Spor 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
8 K. Istklalspor 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
10 Trabzon FK 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
11 Karacabey Bld. 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
12 Serik Spor 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Kirklarelispor 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Kutahyaspor 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
16 Inegolspor 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Iskenderunspor 4 0 0 4 3:13 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)