Sport Picks

Stadium Background

K. Lyra-Lierse vs Diegem

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Deflem D.

AI Match Summary

Diegem in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diegem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
K. Lyra-Lierse
15%
Draws
34%
Diegem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: K. Lyra-Lierse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Diegem haven't matched K. Lyra-Lierse's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans K. Lyra-Lierse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Diegem here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 20%
Diegem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Lyra-Lierse Diegem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs K. Lyra-Lierse
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Diegem
0:1
Jan 13, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Diegem
5:0
Oct 1, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Diegem vs K. Lyra-Lierse
3:2
May 7, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Diegem
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Deflem D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Lyra-Lierse 85 / 100
Diegem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Lyra-Lierse Diegem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Diegem conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Diegem's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

K. Lyra-Lierse found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

K. Lyra-Lierse VS Diegem
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

K. Lyra-Lierse

(Home)
26 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
4 : 3
Houtvenne
19 Apr
Leuven B
2 : 0
K. Lyra-Lierse
11 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
1 : 2
Thes Sport
29 Mar
Knokke
1 : 0
K. Lyra-Lierse
21 Mar
K. Lyra-Lierse
2 : 0
Hoogstraten
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Diegem

(Away)
30 Jun
Diegem
0 : 7
Royale Union SG
26 Apr
Diegem
2 : 3
Belisia Bilzen
19 Apr
Thes Sport
6 : 3
Diegem
12 Apr
SK Roeselare
2 : 2
Diegem
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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