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K. Lyra-Lierse vs Heur Tongeren

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2020/2021
Sat, Mar 27, 2021
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

K. Lyra-Lierse play Heur Tongeren in the Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2020/2021. Heur Tongeren are favorites here. Recently, K. Lyra-Lierse averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Heur Tongeren averaged 1 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, K. Lyra-Lierse won 0, Heur Tongeren won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 27, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for K. Lyra-Lierse and 1.00 for Heur Tongeren. This points to a Heur Tongeren double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
K. Lyra-Lierse
25%
Draws
60%
Heur Tongeren
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Heur Tongeren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • K. Lyra-Lierse picked up more points recently compared to Heur Tongeren.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 23%
Heur Tongeren Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Lyra-Lierse Heur Tongeren
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 12 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2021 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Heur Tongeren
0:0
Mar 27, 2021 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Heur Tongeren vs K. Lyra-Lierse
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Lyra-Lierse 18 / 100
Heur Tongeren 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Lyra-Lierse Heur Tongeren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heur Tongeren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Heur Tongeren & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

K. Lyra-Lierse attacking → ← attacking Heur Tongeren

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

K. Lyra-Lierse scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Heur Tongeren let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

K. Lyra-Lierse went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Heur Tongeren lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 3
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00