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K. Lyra-Lierse vs Thes Sport

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Fall F.
79' Event
Van Den Bogaert P.
86' Event
Swers I.

AI Match Summary

K. Lyra-Lierse host Thes Sport in the National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. K. Lyra-Lierse have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Thes Sport's 1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, K. Lyra-Lierse have won 0 to Thes Sport's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Thes Sport. Thes Sport in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
K. Lyra-Lierse
40%
Draws
29%
Thes Sport
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Thes Sport has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to K. Lyra-Lierse.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 20%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Lyra-Lierse Thes Sport
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Thes Sport
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs K. Lyra-Lierse
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Thes Sport
0:3
Sep 18, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs K. Lyra-Lierse
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Den Bogaert P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Thes Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Swers I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Lyra-Lierse 32 / 100
Thes Sport 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Lyra-Lierse Thes Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

K. Lyra-Lierse scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Thes Sport let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

K. Lyra-Lierse went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Thes Sport lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

K. Lyra-Lierse VS Thes Sport
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hasselt30195676:2862
2Knokke30194756:4461
3SK Roeselare30159652:3354
4Belisia Bilzen30157862:4352
5Hoogstraten30149754:4251
6Thes Sport30148844:3450
7K. Lyra-Lierse301271145:4443
8Dessel301161361:6539
9Tienen301151438:4638
10Cercle Brugge 2301081241:5338
11Merelbeke301131642:4936
12Zelzate301061452:6136
13Leuven B301031756:6433
14Houtvenne30871540:5331
15Diegem30771652:6928
16Ninove30542140:8319