Sport Picks
KA Akureyri vs Aegir Prediction & H2H Stats
Iceland
Icelandic Cup Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri 
Match Events
12'
12'
Mani Jonsson M.
17'
17'
Willard H.
23'
23'
Stojanovic N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KA Akureyri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- KA Akureyri carry the better recent record into this one.
- KA Akureyri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- KA Akureyri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aegir, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 68%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KA Akureyri | Aegir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 2.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2026 Icelandic Cup
KA Akureyri vs Aegir
1:2
Aug 10, 2022 Icelandic Cup
KA Akureyri vs Aegir
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KA Akureyri Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertsson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Aegir Compare
Top Goalscorer Willard H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stojanovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KA Akureyri 95 / 100
Aegir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KA Akureyri Aegir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KA Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aegir let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.
Attacking prowess: KA Akureyri scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: KA Akureyri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
KA Akureyri VS Aegir
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 4.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
KA Akureyri
(Home) 19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0 Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1 Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2 KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0 Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1 Breidablik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5 KR Reykjavik
09 Aug
KA Akureyri
0 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
27 Jul
KA Akureyri
0 : 0 Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 3
Aegir
(Away) 05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1 Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2 Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7 Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2 Volsungur
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2 Aegir
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
06 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2 Aegir
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1 Aegir
29 Jun
Afturelding
8 : 1 Aegir
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1
