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KA Akureyri vs Akranes

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Eyjolfsson G.
Assist: Sigurjonsson R.
58'
Audunsson S.
59' Event
Sigurjonsson R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KA Akureyri and Akranes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KA Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
KA Akureyri
20%
Draws
38%
Akranes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • KA Akureyri haven't matched Akranes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans KA Akureyri's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Akranes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
3:2
Apr 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KA Akureyri
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
5:1
Jul 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
2:0
May 4, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KA Akureyri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Steingrimsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Eyjolfsson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 40 / 100
Akranes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Akranes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KA Akureyri scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Akranes has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Difficult form: Akranes registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Akranes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2
Akranes
02 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
3 : 2
KA Akureyri
28 Jun
Stjarnan
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
21 Jun
Breidablik
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
15 Jun
KA Akureyri
3 : 4
Fram
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Akranes

(Away)
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2
Akranes
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
29 Jun
Akranes
0 : 2
Fram
22 Jun
KR Reykjavik
5 : 3
Akranes
16 Jun
Akranes
1 : 0
Valur
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik15131149:1140
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram15103241:2833
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1661926:3219
6IBV Vestmannaeyjar1544726:3316
7Keflavik1444619:2616
8Stjarnan1543828:3615
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1542924:3214
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)