Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KA Akureyri vs Akranes

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Eyjolfsson G.
Assist: Sigurjonsson R.
58'
Audunsson S.
59' Event
Sigurjonsson R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KA Akureyri and Akranes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KA Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KA Akureyri
30%
Draws
37%
Akranes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • KA Akureyri haven't matched Akranes's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Akranes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.6 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
3:2
Apr 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KA Akureyri
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
5:1
Jul 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
2:0
May 4, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KA Akureyri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Steingrimsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Eyjolfsson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 30 / 100
Akranes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Akranes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

KA Akureyri scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

KA Akureyri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Akranes
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
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Akranes

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)