Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KA Akureyri vs Breidablik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gudmundsson H.
Assist: Djuric D.
12' Event
Orrason A.
21'
Orrason A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KA Akureyri and Breidablik finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KA Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KA Akureyri
15%
Draws
39%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Breidablik come out ahead of KA Akureyri on wins alone.
  • KA Akureyri are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 68%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Breidablik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.6 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Breidablik
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs KA Akureyri
3:1
Aug 3, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs KA Akureyri
1:1
May 11, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Breidablik
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Super Cup
Breidablik vs KA Akureyri
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thordarson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Orrason A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 50 / 100
Breidablik 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KA Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KA Akureyri scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Breidablik conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

KA Akureyri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Breidablik
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
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Breidablik

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)