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KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sigurdarson A.
9' Event
Sigurdarson A.
Assist: Karason S.
14' Event
Steingrimsson H.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KR Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
KA Akureyri
20%
Draws
33%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • KR Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KA Akureyri a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.69 3.32
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
3:5
May 31, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
5:3
Jan 31, 2026 League Cup
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
4:2
Jul 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Steingrimsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdarson A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kjartansson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 47 / 100
KR Reykjavik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KA Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KR Reykjavik has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: KA Akureyri scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: KA Akureyri remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS KR Reykjavik
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
10 Oct
Stjarnan
0 : 3
KA Akureyri
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
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KR Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)