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KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Jonasson H.
20'
Pedersen J.
24'
Vazquez K.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KA Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KA Akureyri
15%
Draws
39%
Thor Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans KA Akureyri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KA Akureyri have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 68%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Thor Akureyri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
3:0
Jul 27, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
0:0
May 2, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs KA Akureyri
0:1
Mar 2, 2023 League Cup
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
1:0
Sep 24, 2016 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs KA Akureyri
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnason J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baldvinsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Thor Akureyri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 95 / 100
Thor Akureyri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Thor Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KA Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KA Akureyri found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Thor Akureyri conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

KA Akureyri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Thor Akureyri
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Thor Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 24 9 4 11 44:47 31
2 Stjarnan 24 9 4 11 46:55 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 24 6 9 9 35:41 27
4 KA Akureyri 24 6 5 13 38:51 23
5 Thor Akureyri 24 6 3 15 23:57 21
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 4 7 13 33:48 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)