Sport Picks
Kaaro Karungi vs Kataka
Uganda
Big League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Kaaro Karungi host Kataka in the Big League 2025/2026. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Kaaro Karungi at 0.9 goals for, 0.97 against; Kataka at 1.24 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Kaaro Karungi slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.94 - 0.94) back Kataka to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kataka have won more games recently than Kaaro Karungi.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Kaaro Karungi taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaaro Karungi | Kataka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaaro Karungi found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Kataka let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Kaaro Karungi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kaaro Karungi
(Home)Kataka
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacks Power | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 35:18 | 55 |
| 2 | Ntugasaze | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 42:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Kataka | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 40:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 51 |
| 5 | Paidha Black Angels | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 6 | Bunyaruguru | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:25 | 43 |
| 7 | Young Elephant | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44:40 | 42 |
| 8 | Kiyinda Boys | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 40:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Iganga United | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 10 | Catda | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 24:32 | 37 |
| 11 | Kaaro Karungi | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 26:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Onduparaka | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | 36 |
| 13 | Nebbi Central | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:42 | 34 |
| 14 | Bright Stars | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25:31 | 32 |
| 15 | Wakiso Giants | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Mbale Heroes | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 14:67 | 17 |
