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Kaaro Karungi vs Kiyinda Boys

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

Kaaro Karungi in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaaro Karungi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kaaro Karungi
6%
Draws
4%
Kiyinda Boys
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kiyinda Boys lately — more wins on the board than Kaaro Karungi.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kaaro Karungi taking it.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Kiyinda Boys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kaaro Karungi
3:2
May 11, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Kiyinda Boys
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kaaro Karungi
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kaaro Karungi
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 85 / 100
Kiyinda Boys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Kiyinda Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Kaaro Karungi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kaaro Karungi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kiyinda Boys let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Kiyinda Boys
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717