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Kaaro Karungi vs Ntugasaze Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Kaaro Karungi Logo

Kaaro Karungi

0 - 0
FT
Ntugasaze Logo

Ntugasaze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Kaaro Karungi
15%
Draws
20%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ntugasaze lately — more wins on the board than Kaaro Karungi.
  • Win probability leans Kaaro Karungi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Ntugasaze
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.89 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kaaro Karungi
0:0
Dec 18, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Ntugasaze
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Ntugasaze
6:3
Jan 19, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kaaro Karungi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 85 / 100
Ntugasaze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaaro Karungi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Kaaro Karungi scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Kaaro Karungi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Ntugasaze registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Ntugasaze
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaaro Karungi

(Home)
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Ntugasaze
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
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Ntugasaze

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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