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Kaaro Karungi vs Paidha Black Angels

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Kaaro Karungi play Paidha Black Angels in the Big League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kaaro Karungi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Paidha Black Angels averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Kaaro Karungi won 1, Paidha Black Angels won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Kaaro Karungi and 1.06 for Paidha Black Angels. This points to a Paidha Black Angels double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kaaro Karungi
40%
Draws
29%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Paidha Black Angels has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kaaro Karungi.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Big League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Paidha Black Angels
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kaaro Karungi
2:0
May 29, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kaaro Karungi
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Paidha Black Angels
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 32 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Paidha Black Angels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaaro Karungi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Paidha Black Angels let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Kaaro Karungi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Paidha Black Angels lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Paidha Black Angels
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717