Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kabati vs Gucha Stars

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Kabati Logo

Kabati

1 - 0
FT
Gucha Stars Logo

Gucha Stars

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kabati and Gucha Stars finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kabati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Kabati
15%
Draws
40%
Gucha Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kabati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gucha Stars's 0.91 goals per match outpaces what Kabati have produced (0.9).
  • Kabati are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Kabati Clean Sheet 68%
Gucha Stars Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabati Gucha Stars
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Kabati vs Gucha Stars
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Super League
Gucha Stars vs Kabati
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabati 59 / 100
Gucha Stars 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabati Gucha Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kabati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabati's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gucha Stars let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Kabati remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kabati VS Gucha Stars
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabati

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

Gucha Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)