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Kabati vs Migori

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kabati and Migori finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Migori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Kabati
20%
Draws
45%
Migori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Migori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Migori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kabati are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kabati Clean Sheet 68%
Migori Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabati Migori
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Kabati vs Migori
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Migori vs Kabati
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabati 59 / 100
Migori 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabati Migori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kabati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabati's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Kabati went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Migori has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kabati VS Migori
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabati

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
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Migori

(Away)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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