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Kabel Novi Sad vs Graficar Beograd

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Slana Bara (FK Proleter)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kabel Novi Sad play Graficar Beograd in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kabel Novi Sad averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Graficar Beograd averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Kabel Novi Sad won 0, Graficar Beograd won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Kabel Novi Sad and 1.13 for Graficar Beograd. This points to a Graficar Beograd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kabel Novi Sad
32%
Draws
39%
Graficar Beograd
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Graficar Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Kabel Novi Sad picked up more points recently compared to Graficar Beograd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Kabel Novi Sad Clean Sheet 21%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabel Novi Sad Graficar Beograd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Kabel Novi Sad vs Graficar Beograd
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Kabel Novi Sad vs Graficar Beograd
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Kabel Novi Sad
1:1
Apr 15, 2022 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Kabel Novi Sad
5:0
Nov 22, 2021 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Kabel Novi Sad
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kabel Novi Sad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Graficar Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakicevic I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stojiljkovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabel Novi Sad 30 / 100
Graficar Beograd 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabel Novi Sad Graficar Beograd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Graficar Beograd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kabel Novi Sad attacking → ← attacking Graficar Beograd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabel Novi Sad scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Graficar Beograd let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kabel Novi Sad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Graficar Beograd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 41
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00