Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kabwe vs Indeni

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Chisala B.
Own Goal
18' Event
Kandela F.
45' Event
Mwenya S.

AI Match Summary

Kabwe in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kabwe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kabwe
20%
Draws
30%
Indeni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kabwe lately — more wins on the board than Indeni.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Kabwe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 68%
Indeni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabwe Indeni
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Kabwe vs Indeni
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Indeni vs Kabwe
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Absa Cup
Indeni vs Kabwe
0:5
Jan 9, 2022 Super League
Kabwe vs Indeni
1:1
Oct 9, 2021 Super League
Indeni vs Kabwe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Kandela F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banda F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Indeni Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwenya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabwe 86 / 100
Indeni 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabwe Indeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kabwe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indeni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kabwe scored in 74% of their last 39 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Kabwe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kabwe VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabwe

(Home)
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Kabwe
1 : 0
NAPSA Stars
Page 1 of 8

Indeni

(Away)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Indeni
09 Apr
Indeni
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Indeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)