Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kabylie vs USM Alger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kabylie host USM Alger in the Ligue 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Kabylie at 1.11 goals for, 0.96 against; USM Alger at 1.19 for, 0.91 against. Head-to-head, Kabylie have won 2 to USM Alger's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.69 - 0.75) back Kabylie to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kabylie
30%
Draws
39%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USM Alger lately — more wins on the board than Kabylie.
  • Kabylie are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kabylie Clean Sheet 20%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabylie USM Alger
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 12 12
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Kabylie
0:1
Dec 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs USM Alger
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Kabylie
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs USM Alger
0:0
May 6, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Kabylie
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabylie 36 / 100
USM Alger 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabylie USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabylie found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

USM Alger let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Kabylie has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kabylie VS USM Alger
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabylie

(Home)
14 Oct
ES Setif
1 : 1
Kabylie
09 Oct
Kabylie
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
17 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
Kabylie
04 Sept
Kabylie
1 : 0
Rouisset
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
08 Oct
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 5 4 1 0 9:5 13
2 Oran 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
3 USM Alger 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
4 Rouisset 5 3 0 2 5:3 9
5 MC Alger 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
6 Constantine 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
7 Kabylie 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 ES Ben Aknoun 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
9 ES Setif 5 1 2 2 6:4 5
10 Khenchela 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
11 Olympique Akbou 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
12 JS El Biar 5 1 1 3 8:9 4
13 CR Temouchent 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 ASO Chlef 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
15 Saoura 4 0 2 2 0:5 2
16 Biskra 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)