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Kadiogo vs AS Douanes Prediction & H2H Stats

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Banao D.
Assist: Traore M.
25' Event
Dondasse R.
28' Event
Yao G.

AI Match Summary

AS Douanes in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Douanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kadiogo
20%
Draws
30%
AS Douanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kadiogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kadiogo lately — more wins on the board than AS Douanes.
  • Model gives Kadiogo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Kadiogo Clean Sheet 68%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kadiogo AS Douanes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Kadiogo vs AS Douanes
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Kadiogo
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Kadiogo
0:0
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Kadiogo vs AS Douanes
0:2
Feb 8, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Kadiogo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kadiogo Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AS Douanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Banao D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dondasse R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kadiogo 59 / 100
AS Douanes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kadiogo AS Douanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kadiogo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Douanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kadiogo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AS Douanes's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kadiogo VS AS Douanes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kadiogo

(Home)
27 Sept
ASF Dioulasso
1 : 0
Kadiogo
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
10 May
Kadiogo
3 : 0
Majestic
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
27 Apr
Rahimo
2 : 0
Kadiogo
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AS Douanes

(Away)
27 Sept
AS Douanes
0 : 1
Sporting Cascades
19 Sept
FocuSport
1 : 0
AS Douanes
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)