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Kadiogo vs ASF Dioulasso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Yao G.
Assist: Ouango J.
80' Event
Yao G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Kadiogo in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kadiogo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kadiogo
30%
Draws
23%
ASF Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kadiogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • ASF Dioulasso haven't matched Kadiogo's recent run of results.
  • Kadiogo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Kadiogo Clean Sheet 68%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kadiogo ASF Dioulasso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Kadiogo vs ASF Dioulasso
2:0
Dec 1, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Kadiogo
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Kadiogo vs ASF Dioulasso
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Kadiogo
0:0
May 5, 2024 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Kadiogo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kadiogo Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kadiogo 95 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kadiogo ASF Dioulasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kadiogo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASF Dioulasso let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kadiogo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

ASF Dioulasso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kadiogo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kadiogo VS ASF Dioulasso
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kadiogo

(Home)
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
10 May
Kadiogo
3 : 0
Majestic
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
27 Apr
Rahimo
2 : 0
Kadiogo
19 Apr
Kadiogo
4 : 1
Salitas
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ASF Dioulasso

(Away)
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2
Real Du Faso
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)