Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaedi vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Dembele K.

AI Match Summary

Nouadhibou in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kaedi
20%
Draws
47%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Nouadhibou have won more games recently than Kaedi.
  • Win probability leans Nouadhibou's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nouadhibou here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 11%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Nouadhibou
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 0.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Nouadhibou
0:1
Jan 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Kaedi
1:0
Mar 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Kaedi
3:1
Oct 29, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Nouadhibou
0:0
May 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Kaedi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaedi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 10 / 100
Nouadhibou 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaedi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Kaedi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Nouadhibou conceded in 39% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Nouadhibou
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

Nouadhibou

(Away)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
25 Apr
Kaedi
0 : 1
Nouadhibou
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)