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Kaerjeng vs Mondorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaerjeng host Mondorf in the BGL Ligue. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kaerjeng at 2.26 goals for, 1.35 against; Mondorf at 2.03 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Kaerjeng have won 1 to Mondorf's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 2.00, favoring Mondorf. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Kaerjeng
15%
Draws
32%
Mondorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaerjeng's 2.26 goals per match outpaces what Mondorf have produced (2.03).
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Kaerjeng taking it.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 10%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaerjeng Mondorf
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.26 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Mondorf
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Kaerjeng
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Mondorf
2:1
Aug 20, 2023 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Kaerjeng
5:3
Apr 16, 2023 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Kaerjeng
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaerjeng 83 / 100
Mondorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaerjeng Mondorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaerjeng scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Mondorf has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kaerjeng stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaerjeng VS Mondorf
3.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaerjeng

(Home)
17 Oct
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 2
Kaerjeng
11 Oct
Kaerjeng
4 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9
Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 7

Mondorf

(Away)
18 Oct
Mondorf
4 : 1
Wiltz
11 Oct
Rumelange
1 : 2
Mondorf
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 10 9 1 0 20:3 28
2 Differdange 10 9 0 1 30:8 27
3 Mondorf 10 8 0 2 22:13 24
4 Kaerjeng 10 7 0 3 29:17 21
5 Racing Luxembourg 10 5 4 1 24:11 19
6 Bissen 10 6 1 3 25:14 19
7 Progres Niedercorn 10 6 1 3 16:7 19
8 FC Residence Walferdange 10 5 1 4 19:19 16
9 Dudelange 10 4 1 5 16:16 13
10 Hostert 10 3 2 5 15:18 11
11 Jeunesse Esch 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
12 Victoria Rosport 10 2 2 6 17:25 8
13 Rumelange 10 2 1 7 12:28 7
14 Ettelbruck 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
15 Wiltz 10 1 1 8 15:28 4
16 Hesperange 10 0 0 10 2:38 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)