Sport Picks
Kagera Sugar vs Gwambina Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mhilu Y.
Assist: Luhende D.
90'
90'
Meshack I.
Assist: Nonga P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gwambina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kagera Sugar haven't matched Gwambina's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 22%
Gwambina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagera Sugar | Gwambina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Gwambina
1:1
Sep 11, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Gwambina vs Kagera Sugar
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kagera Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Mhilu Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Gwambina Compare
Top Goalscorer Meshack I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kagera Sugar 32 / 100
Gwambina 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kagera Sugar Gwambina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gwambina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gwambina has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Gwambina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Kagera Sugar found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Kagera Sugar VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kagera Sugar
(Home) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2 Kagera Sugar
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Singida Black Stars
16 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Simba
12 May
Kagera Sugar
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
Gwambina
(Away) 18 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 1 Gwambina
15 Jul
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Gwambina
23 Jun
Gwambina
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
18 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Gwambina
26 May
Namungo
1 : 0 Gwambina
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 1 Gwambina
15 Jul
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Gwambina
18 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Gwambina
26 May
Namungo
1 : 0 Gwambina
20 Apr
Young Africans
3 : 1 Gwambina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 78:14 | 83 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 52:21 | 74 |
| 3 | Azam | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:22 | 68 |
| 4 | Biashara Mara United | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 28:32 | 50 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Tanzania Prisons | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 25:25 | 44 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Namungo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 24:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 11 | Ruvu Shooting | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Kagera Sugar | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Coastal Union | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:46 | 40 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 21:31 | 39 |
| 15 | JKT Tanzania | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwambina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Singida Black Stars | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 35 |
| 18 | Mwadui | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 24:69 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
