Sport Picks
Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Tanzania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba 
AI Match Summary
Kagera Sugar host Polisi Tanzania in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kagera Sugar at 0.84 goals for, 1.55 against; Polisi Tanzania at 1.28 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Kagera Sugar have won 2 to Polisi Tanzania's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 2.06, favoring Polisi Tanzania. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kagera Sugar haven't matched Polisi Tanzania's recent run of results.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagera Sugar | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polisi Tanzania let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Difficult form: Polisi Tanzania registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Kagera Sugar scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kagera Sugar
(Home)Polisi Tanzania
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
