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Kagoshima United vs Ehime - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kagoshima United host Ehime in the J3 League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ehime have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Kagoshima United have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Kagoshima United slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2024, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Kagoshima United. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kagoshima United
20%
Draws
33%
Ehime
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kagoshima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kagoshima United lately — more wins on the board than Ehime.
  • Kagoshima United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 17%
Ehime Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kagoshima United Ehime
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 17
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 J2 League
Kagoshima United vs Ehime
4:0
Apr 13, 2024 J2 League
Ehime vs Kagoshima United
2:2
Sep 23, 2023 J3 League
Ehime vs Kagoshima United
0:2
Jul 23, 2023 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Ehime
1:2
Oct 30, 2022 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Ehime
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kagoshima United 39 / 100
Ehime 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kagoshima United Ehime

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kagoshima United's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ehime let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kagoshima United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kagoshima United VS Ehime
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kagoshima United

(Home)
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2
Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6

Ehime

(Away)
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
4 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
5 FC Osaka 9 4 4 1 17:8 16
6 SC Sagamihara 9 4 3 2 15:10 15
7 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
8 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
9 Kanazawa 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 9 1 2 6 10:17 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)