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Kagoshima United vs Kochi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kagoshima United host Kochi United in the J3 League. Kagoshima United go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Kagoshima United at 1.6 goals for, 0.9 against; Kochi United at 0.79 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Kagoshima United have won 1 to Kochi United's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2025, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 0.88) point toward Kagoshima United. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kagoshima United
20%
Draws
10%
Kochi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kagoshima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kagoshima United have won more games recently than Kochi United.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Kagoshima United taking it.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 20%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kagoshima United Kochi United
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.6 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Kochi United
4:1
Mar 15, 2025 J3 League
Kochi United vs Kagoshima United
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kagoshima United 85 / 100
Kochi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kagoshima United Kochi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kochi United has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Kagoshima United's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kagoshima United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kagoshima United VS Kochi United
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kagoshima United

(Home)
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Kagoshima United
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2
Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Kochi United

(Away)
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)