Sport Picks
Kagoshima United vs Kumamoto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima 
Match Events
27'
27'
Saga R.
Assist: Takahashi A.
29'
29'
Sub
Negishi K. In: Onishi R.
Out: Negishi K.
46'
46'
Sub
Yoshioka Y. In: Katori Y.
Out: Yoshioka Y.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Kagoshima United and Kumamoto finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumamoto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Kagoshima United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 17%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagoshima United | Kumamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Kumamoto
1:1
May 17, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Kumamoto
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 J2 League
Kagoshima United vs Kumamoto
0:2
May 3, 2024 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Saga R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Kumamoto Compare
Top Goalscorer Ishihara O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kagoshima United 31 / 100
Kumamoto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kagoshima United Kumamoto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kagoshima United found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Kagoshima United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Kumamoto conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Kagoshima United VS Kumamoto
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kagoshima United
(Home) 03 Nov
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1 Kumamoto
24 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kagoshima United
21 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Kochi United
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2 Ehime
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1 Kumamoto
21 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Kochi United
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2 Ehime
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 3
Kumamoto
(Away) 31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1 Kumamoto
25 Oct
Kumamoto
2 : 1 Gifu
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0 Gainare Tottori
18 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3 Kumamoto
11 Oct
Kumamoto
0 : 2 Ehime
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1 Kumamoto
18 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3 Kumamoto
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0 Kumamoto
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28:15 | 28 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27:32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
