Sport Picks
Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima 
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Yoshio K. In: Fukuda M.
Out: Yoshio K.
60'
60'
Sub
Kawamura K. In: Takahashi A.
Out: Kawamura K.
65'
65'
Takahashi A.
Assist: Arita R.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Kagoshima United and Ryukyu finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kagoshima United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kagoshima United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kagoshima United come out ahead of Ryukyu on wins alone.
- Kagoshima United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kagoshima United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 19%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagoshima United | Ryukyu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu
2:1
May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu
1:1
May 6, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Takahashi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Delgado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ryukyu Compare
Top Goalscorer Iwamoto S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kagoshima United 49 / 100
Ryukyu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kagoshima United Ryukyu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kagoshima United scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Ryukyu has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Kagoshima United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kagoshima United VS Ryukyu
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kagoshima United
(Home) 21 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Kochi United
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2 Ehime
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Kagoshima United
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Kochi United
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2 Ehime
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Ryukyu
Page 1 of 3
Ryukyu
(Away) 21 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Ryukyu
17 Oct
Ryukyu
1 : 0 Tochigi SC
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ryukyu
0 : 2 Kanazawa
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1 Ehime
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Ryukyu
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0 Ryukyu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Ryukyu
22 Aug
FC Osaka
2 : 2 Ryukyu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:14 | 29 |
| 2 | Ehime | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:15 | 26 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 23 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 6 | SC Sagamihara | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | 20 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 9 | Nagano Parceiro | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 13 | Reilac Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 14 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | 13 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 13 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | 11 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:24 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:28 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
