Sport Picks

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Kahramanmarasspor vs Malatya

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Kanarya T.
Assist: Gunes M.
72' Event
Saygi V.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Uzun O.
Assist: Ozler T.

AI Match Summary

Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kahramanmarasspor
35%
Draws
32%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Malatya have won more games recently than Kahramanmarasspor.
  • Kahramanmarasspor are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kahramanmarasspor Clean Sheet 10%
Malatya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahramanmarasspor Malatya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kahramanmarasspor vs Malatya
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Kahramanmarasspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanarya T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uzun O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmarasspor 40 / 100
Malatya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahramanmarasspor Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahramanmarasspor scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Malatya let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Kahramanmarasspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kahramanmarasspor VS Malatya
1.57 Goals Scored 2.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahramanmarasspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
12 Apr
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 4
Erciyes 38
05 Apr
Mazidagi
0 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
29 Mar
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 0
Kirsehir SK
25 Mar
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
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Malatya

(Away)
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Silifke
1 : 1
Malatya
23 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Silifke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)