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Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Ekibastuz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty 2 host FC Ekibastuz in the First League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Kairat Almaty 2 at 2.7 goals for, 0.83 against; FC Ekibastuz at 1.31 for, 2.31 against. Head-to-head, Kairat Almaty 2 have won 5 to FC Ekibastuz's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (2.38 - 1.19) back Kairat Almaty 2 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kairat Almaty 2
30%
Draws
6%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kairat Almaty 2 lately — more wins on the board than FC Ekibastuz.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty 2 taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kairat Almaty 2 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty 2 FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.7 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:4
Jul 31, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:3
May 1, 2025 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
7:0
Aug 9, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:4
Jun 27, 2024 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty 2 FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kairat Almaty 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Kairat Almaty 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS FC Ekibastuz
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Taraz
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
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FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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