Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2022

Kairat Almaty 2

4 - 1

Shakhtar Bulat

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Wagner R.

Own Goal

60'

Orazbek A.

79'

Popov S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Kairat Almaty 2 and Shakhtar Bulat finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kairat Almaty 2

Draws

Shakhtar Bulat

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kairat Almaty 2 come out ahead of Shakhtar Bulat on wins alone.
Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kairat Almaty 2	Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	20	8
Draws	6	5
Losses	6	17
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Jul 1, 2022 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Kairat Almaty 2

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 29, 2021 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Kairat Almaty 2

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

4:3

Apr 11, 2021 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Oct 31, 2020 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orazbek A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Toleukhanov N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100

Shakhtar Bulat 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kairat Almaty 2 Shakhtar Bulat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty 2 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Shakhtar Bulat conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Kairat Almaty 2 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Okzhetpes	26	19	4	3	80:22	61
2	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	17	5	4	60:26	56
3	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	17	4	5	57:23	52
4	Kairat Almaty 2	26	15	6	5	61:31	51
5	FK Kyran	26	12	5	9	57:43	41
6	FC Ekibastuz	26	9	10	7	45:47	37
7	Taraz-Karatau 2	26	10	6	10	45:47	36
8	Zhenis	26	10	5	11	40:36	35
9	Turkistan	26	10	5	11	48:54	35
10	Akademiya Ontustik	26	8	6	12	42:60	30
11	FC Astana 2	26	7	6	13	50:62	27
12	Igilik	26	6	3	17	27:70	21
13	Shakhtar Bulat	26	4	5	17	36:72	17
14	Baykonur Kyzylorda	26	1	4	21	16:71	7