Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska

Europe Europe

Champions League Almaty Central Stadium
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty play Sutjeska in the Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kairat Almaty averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sutjeska averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Kairat Almaty won 2, Sutjeska won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Kairat Almaty and 1.06 for Sutjeska. This points to a Sutjeska double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat Almaty
6%
Draws
4%
Sutjeska
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sutjeska has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kairat Almaty.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kairat Almaty.
  • Cup tournament structure in Champions League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 20%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Sutjeska
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Champions League
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Champions League
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty
2-2
Jan 12, 2025 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
2-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 85 / 100
Sutjeska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Sutjeska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Sutjeska let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kairat Almaty went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sutjeska lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS Sutjeska
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps-
Inter Escaldes-
Tre Fiori-
Larne-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku-
TNS-
Vardar-
KuPS-
Klaksvik-
Bissen-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Drita-
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia-
Riga FC-
Floriana-
Shamrock Rovers-
Borac Banja Luka-
Levski Sofia-
ML Vitebsk-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty-
Sutjeska-
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
Gyor-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora-
Iberia 1999-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti-
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Omonia-
TBD-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Final
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-