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Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Cup Almaty Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Shirobokov A.
28'
Sub
Murat E. In: Kubashev C.
Out: Murat E.
28' Event
Yuldoshev I.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Kairat Almaty and Akzhayik Uralsk finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat Almaty
6%
Draws
4%
Akzhayik Uralsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kairat Almaty come out ahead of Akzhayik Uralsk on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kairat Almaty a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 20%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Akzhayik Uralsk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 League Cup
Kairat Almaty vs Akzhayik Uralsk
9:0
Apr 30, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kairat Almaty
0:0
Apr 19, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
Kairat Almaty vs Akzhayik Uralsk
2:1
Aug 31, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
Kairat Almaty vs Akzhayik Uralsk
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Akzhayik Uralsk
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
3 Goals
Assists Leader Shirobokov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 85 / 100
Akzhayik Uralsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Akzhayik Uralsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Akzhayik Uralsk conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Kairat Almaty went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty321013:17
2Kyzylzhar31114:44
3Taraz31023:63
4Akzhayik Uralsk31023:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zhenis32014:26
2Aktobe32014:36
3Kaisar Kyzylorda31025:43
4Tobol31023:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yelimay Semey32108:27
2Atyrau31112:34
3Ordabasy30304:43
4Turan30122:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Astana320110:46
2Kaspij Aktau32013:66
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan31024:53
4Shakhter Karagandy31024:63