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Kairat Almaty vs Mjallby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty host Mjallby in the Conference League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Mjallby have shipped 1.81 goals a game lately, while Kairat Almaty have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.76. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.69 - 1.06) back Kairat Almaty to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kairat Almaty
30%
Draws
29%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kairat Almaty lately — more wins on the board than Mjallby.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 20%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Mjallby
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 42 / 100
Mjallby 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjallby has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Kairat Almaty scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Kairat Almaty went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Mjallby registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS Mjallby
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty

(Home)
22 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 5
Panathinaikos
18 Oct
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0
Ertis Pavlodar
15 Oct
Riga FC
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty
10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6

Mjallby

(Away)
22 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 1
Mjallby
18 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Mjallby
15 Oct
Mjallby
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
10 Oct
Mjallby
1 : 1
Degerfors
06 Oct
Trollhattan
1 : 0
Mjallby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Lugano 2 2 0 0 8:4 6
3 Brann 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Monaco 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
7 St. Truiden 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
8 Hajduk Split 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
9 Brighton 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
10 FC Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
11 Univ. Craiova 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
12 Mjallby 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
13 Ajax 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
15 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16 Braga 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17 Gent 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
18 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
19 Nordsjaelland 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
20 KF Egnatia 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
21 Riga FC 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
22 Crvena zvezda 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
23 CSKA Sofia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
24 Jablonec 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
25 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
27 Pafos 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
28 Hearts 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
29 Iberia 1999 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
30 Getafe 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
31 Kairat Almaty 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
32 Thun 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
34 KuPS 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Inter Escaldes 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)