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Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Almaty Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gual M.
Assist: Tapalov E.
36' Event
Gual M.
Assist: Mata L.
42' Event
Jorginho G.
Assist: Mata L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kairat Almaty and Okzhetpes finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat Almaty
6%
Draws
4%
Okzhetpes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kairat Almaty come out ahead of Okzhetpes on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kairat Almaty have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Okzhetpes
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes
5:0
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes
1:2
Jul 15, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Gual M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jorginho G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Okzhetpes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 95 / 100
Okzhetpes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Okzhetpes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kairat Almaty scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Kairat Almaty went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Okzhetpes let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS Okzhetpes
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211