Sport Picks
Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey
Kazakhstan
Premier League Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty 
Match Events
12'
12'
Placca F.
19'
19'
Tyulyubay A.
46'
46'
Sub
Tapalov E. In: Edmilson
Out: Tapalov E.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Kairat Almaty and Yelimay Semey finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Yelimay Semey haven't matched Kairat Almaty's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 20%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kairat Almaty | Yelimay Semey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey
2:3
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey
4:1
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Jukkola O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edmilson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Yelimay Semey Compare
Top Goalscorer Placca F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ashirbek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kairat Almaty 85 / 100
Yelimay Semey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kairat Almaty Yelimay Semey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kairat Almaty scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Yelimay Semey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Kairat Almaty has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kairat Almaty VS Yelimay Semey
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kairat Almaty
(Home) 22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3 Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1 Sutjeska
02 Jul
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1 Sutjeska
02 Jul
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0 Okzhetpes
17 Jun
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
13 Jun
Kairat Almaty
1 : 1 Atyrau
23 May
Kairat Almaty
0 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 2
Yelimay Semey
(Away) 19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Yelimay Semey
16 Jul
Yelimay Semey
2 : 3 Alashkert
09 Jul
Alashkert
1 : 1 Yelimay Semey
04 Jul
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1 Yelimay Semey
27 Jun
Yelimay Semey
2 : 0 Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Yelimay Semey
09 Jul
Alashkert
1 : 1 Yelimay Semey
04 Jul
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1 Yelimay Semey
28 May
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Yelimay Semey
16 May
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 2 Yelimay Semey
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 43 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37:13 | 42 |
| 3 | Aktobe | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28:21 | 31 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:26 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Ulytau | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16:18 | 27 |
| 7 | Yelimay Semey | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:22 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Tobol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Kyzylzhar | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 19 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Kaspij Aktau | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Altai | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 16:23 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)