Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Edmilson
Assist: Kurgin L.
45'
Saravanja I.
48'
Adilio

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kairat Almaty and Zhenis finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kairat Almaty
15%
Draws
34%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kairat Almaty a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kairat Almaty have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Zhenis
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis
3:0
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Sep 22, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis
3:1
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Sep 25, 2024 League Cup
Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Edmilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gual M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Zhenis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 77 / 100
Zhenis 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kairat Almaty found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Zhenis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Kairat Almaty remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS Zhenis
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4
Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
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Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)