Sport Picks
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
Premier League Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty 
Match Events
31'
31'
Baltabekov A.
46'
46'
Sub
Kurgin L. In: Tuyakbaev A.
Out: Kurgin L.
63'
63'
Sub
Mendonsa G. In: Abish M.
Out: Mendonsa G.
AI Match Summary
Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Kairat Almaty have won more games recently than Zhetysu Taldykorgan.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 20%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu Taldykorgan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Kairat Almaty
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
5:0
Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Kairat Almaty
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Gual M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kairat Almaty 76 / 100
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kairat Almaty Zhetysu Taldykorgan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kairat Almaty Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kairat Almaty found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).
Zhetysu Taldykorgan let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Kairat Almaty remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kairat Almaty VS Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kairat Almaty
(Home) 17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
20 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 3 Anderlecht
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1 Ulytau
11 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 1 Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 4
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
(Away) 18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
05 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
01 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
18 Jul
Okzhetpes
2 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:40 | 27 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 13 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
