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Kairat W vs Ordabasy W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rakhatzhan T.
50' Event
Rysbek G.
90' Event
Makhmutova E.
Assist: Shamet S.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Kairat W and Ordabasy W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordabasy W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat W
6%
Draws
4%
Ordabasy W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kairat W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kairat W Clean Sheet 15%
Ordabasy W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat W Ordabasy W
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 League Women
Kairat W vs Ordabasy W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakhatzhan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ordabasy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rysbek G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makhmutova E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat W 84 / 100
Ordabasy W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat W Ordabasy W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ordabasy W let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kairat W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kairat W VS Ordabasy W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451