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Kairat W vs Tomiris-Turan W Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Toktobolotova B.
Assist: Stepanova T.
22' Event
Oster A.
Assist: Tsyganova V.
35' Event
Yrysbek K.
Assist: Toktobolotova B.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Kairat W and Tomiris-Turan W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomiris-Turan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kairat W
15%
Draws
49%
Tomiris-Turan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomiris-Turan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kairat W haven't matched Tomiris-Turan W's recent run of results.
  • Tomiris-Turan W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Tomiris-Turan W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kairat W Clean Sheet 20%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat W Tomiris-Turan W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 24
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.27 2.76
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 League Women
Kairat W vs Tomiris-Turan W
1:2
Jun 22, 2026 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Kairat W
3:0
Sep 8, 2025 League Women
Kairat W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:2
Jun 16, 2025 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Kairat W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oster A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Toktobolotova B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yrysbek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat W 20 / 100
Tomiris-Turan W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat W Tomiris-Turan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomiris-Turan W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kairat W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Tomiris-Turan W conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat W VS Tomiris-Turan W
3 Goals Scored 3.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat W

(Home)
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 1
BIIK Shymkent W
24 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 0
Atyrau W
17 Aug
Ordabasy W
2 : 1
Kairat W
10 Aug
Kairat W
6 : 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
Page 1 of 6

Tomiris-Turan W

(Away)
17 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
3 : 0
Tomiris-Turan W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Tomiris-Turan W
4 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
24 Aug
Kaspij Aktau W
0 : 6
Tomiris-Turan W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)