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Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Atyrau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Bukorac S.
46'
Sub
Abdulla A. In: Dorofeev K.
Out: Abdulla A.
46'
Sub
Kaldybekov E. In: Cuckic N.
Out: Kaldybekov E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kaisar Kyzylorda and Atyrau finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaisar Kyzylorda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
15%
Draws
36%
Atyrau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaisar Kyzylorda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kaisar Kyzylorda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kaisar Kyzylorda's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 20%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaisar Kyzylorda Atyrau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Atyrau
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Atyrau
0:0
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuckic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atyrau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaisar Kyzylorda 36 / 100
Atyrau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaisar Kyzylorda Atyrau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaisar Kyzylorda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atyrau has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Atyrau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Atyrau
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaisar Kyzylorda

(Home)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6

Atyrau

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)