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Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Kaysar Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Satpaev D.
13'
Jukkola O.
17'
Mrynskiy A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kaisar Kyzylorda and Kairat Almaty finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
11%
Draws
80%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 14%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaisar Kyzylorda Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 14 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
0:0
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare

Top Goalscorer Abiken A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Satpaev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martynovich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaisar Kyzylorda 11 / 100
Kairat Almaty 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaisar Kyzylorda Kairat Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Kaisar Kyzylorda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kaisar Kyzylorda found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kairat Almaty conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Kairat Almaty
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211