Sport Picks
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty Prediction & H2H Stats
Kazakhstan
Premier League Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda 
Match Events
2'
2'
Satpaev D.
13'
13'
Jukkola O.
17'
17'
Mrynskiy A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Kaisar Kyzylorda and Kairat Almaty finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kairat Almaty carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 16%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
0:0
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare
Top Goalscorer Abiken A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Satpaev D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martynovich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaisar Kyzylorda 28 / 100
Kairat Almaty 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaisar Kyzylorda Kairat Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kairat Almaty Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaisar Kyzylorda found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Kairat Almaty has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Kaisar Kyzylorda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Kairat Almaty
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(Home) 18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2 Aktobe
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1 Zhenis
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
Page 1 of 4
Kairat Almaty
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
27 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 0 Kairat Almaty
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
