Sport Picks
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kaspij Aktau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
Premier League Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda 
Match Events
23'
23'
Bekmyrza A.
41'
41'
Mukhammed A.
Assist: Idrisov N.
45'
45'
Amaral A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Kaisar Kyzylorda and Kaspij Aktau finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaspij Aktau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Kaspij Aktau carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Kaisar Kyzylorda's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 14%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Kaspij Aktau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kaspij Aktau
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kaspij Aktau
3:1
Apr 1, 2023 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:3
Jul 29, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kaspij Aktau
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukhammed A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Kaspij Aktau Compare
Top Goalscorer Sylla K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaisar Kyzylorda 41 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaisar Kyzylorda Kaspij Aktau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Kaisar Kyzylorda found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Kaspij Aktau conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Kaisar Kyzylorda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Kaspij Aktau
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(Home) 18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2 Aktobe
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1 Zhenis
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
Page 1 of 3
Kaspij Aktau
(Away) 18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0 Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2 Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
01 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
3 : 2 Kaspij Aktau
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
05 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 2 Kaspij Aktau
20 Jun
Ordabasy
2 : 0 Kaspij Aktau
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52:20 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | 48 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:32 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36:36 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35:36 | 37 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:40 | 27 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 20:29 | 26 |
| 13 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 14 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26:45 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
