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Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaisar Kyzylorda host Ordabasy in the Premier League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ordabasy have shipped 0.73 goals a game lately, while Kaisar Kyzylorda have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Ordabasy slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.13) point toward Ordabasy. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
15%
Draws
64%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kaisar Kyzylorda haven't matched Ordabasy's recent run of results.
  • Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 10%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaisar Kyzylorda Ordabasy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 23
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.07 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy
1:1
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
5:0
Aug 31, 2024 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaisar Kyzylorda 10 / 100
Ordabasy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaisar Kyzylorda Ordabasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaisar Kyzylorda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ordabasy conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Ordabasy
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaisar Kyzylorda

(Home)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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Ordabasy

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)