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Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars

Kenya Kenya

FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Odhiambo S.

AI Match Summary

Ulinzi Stars in this FKF Mozzart Bet Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulinzi Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kakamega Homeboyz
39%
Draws
30%
Ulinzi Stars
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulinzi Stars have won more games recently than Kakamega Homeboyz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 21%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kakamega Homeboyz Ulinzi Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars
0:1
Feb 26, 2026 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Kakamega Homeboyz
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Kakamega Homeboyz
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kakamega Homeboyz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ulinzi Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Odhiambo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kakamega Homeboyz 32 / 100
Ulinzi Stars 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kakamega Homeboyz Ulinzi Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kakamega Homeboyz scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ulinzi Stars let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Kakamega Homeboyz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kakamega Homeboyz VS Ulinzi Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kakamega Homeboyz0
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker1
Kariobangi Sharks0
Posta Rangers0
Nairobi United2
KCB3
Chebaiywa Lions0
KUTA Collection0
Shabana1
Police FC1
BB Bread0
3K FC0
Bandari2
Mfalme5
Muranga1
Quarter-finals
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker2
Nairobi United0
KCB1
Shabana0
Police FC1
Bandari5
Mfalme2
Semi-finals
Tusker1
KCB0
Police FC1
Bandari0
Final
Tusker2
Police FC1
KCB0
Bandari2