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Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2026/2027
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kakamega Homeboyz host Mahia in the Premier League 2026/2027. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Kakamega Homeboyz have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.15 conceded recently, against Mahia's 1.39 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Kakamega Homeboyz have won 0 to Mahia's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.00) back Mahia to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kakamega Homeboyz
20%
Draws
48%
Mahia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahia come out ahead of Kakamega Homeboyz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kakamega Homeboyz a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2026/2027 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 20%
Mahia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kakamega Homeboyz Mahia
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia
0:0
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia
0:1
Dec 17, 2025 Premier League
Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia
0:0
Nov 27, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kakamega Homeboyz 76 / 100
Mahia 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kakamega Homeboyz Mahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kakamega Homeboyz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kakamega Homeboyz found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Mahia has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Mahia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kakamega Homeboyz VS Mahia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kakamega Homeboyz

(Home)
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
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Mahia

(Away)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)